Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
BullBear's open picks · 검증 중인 AI 픽
BullBear AI's verified 30-day hit rate: 57.9% (1018 hits / 1758 decisive picks · 24h window). 72h window: 51.1% (1156/2261). See the ledger →
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record, rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 57.9% on the 24-hour window (1018 correct out of 1758 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 51.1% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is checked against the real price move of Bitcoin (crypto) or the S&P 500 (everything else) at its window's close. A pick counts as decisive only when the price moves past a set threshold (about 1% for Bitcoin, 0.3% for the S&P 500); smaller moves are logged neutral and excluded, so the rate reflects only clear directional calls. Right now 40 picks are still inside their verification window — calls BullBear is staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
⏱ Open picks · 24h verification window
US is stuck in 'vicious circle' of widening inflation pressures
The US economy is reportedly stuck in a 'vicious circle' of widening inflation pressures.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 19:42 UTC
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Faces Trump Throwdown as Inflation Soars - 24/7 Wall St.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is reportedly facing a political challenge from former President Trump amidst soaring inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 13:53 UTC
Major Iranian Attack On Kuwait International Airport Leaves One Dead, 63 Injured
A significant Iranian missile and drone attack on Kuwait International Airport has resulted in casualties, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle Eas...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 04, 02:45 UTC
Live Markets: Bitcoin Crashes to $62,000 as Billions of Longs Get Liquidated
Bitcoin has crashed to $62,000, resulting in the liquidation of billions of dollars in long positions.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 04, 02:32 UTC
A war-weary Treasury market faces a fresh test with Friday’s jobs report
The new worry on Wall Street is that investors are simply losing patience and demanding higher compensation to lend money to the U.S. government.
global_markets · MarketWatch Top Stories · Jun 04, 21:05 UTC
Stock market today: Dow jumps, Nasdaq sinks after Broadcom earnings flop - Yahoo! Finance Canada
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped today, while the Nasdaq sank after Broadcom's earnings flopped.
korea_finance · Google News USA Stock · Jun 04, 20:03 UTC
S&P 500 futures fall after index snaps 9-day win streak amid rising Middle East tensions: Live updates - CNBC
S&P 500 futures are falling after the index snapped its 9-day win streak amid rising Middle East tensions.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 04, 19:16 UTC
Fed's Schmid says choice is between patience and rate hikes to tamp down inflation
Fed's Schmid states the choice is between patience and rate hikes to curb inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 18:34 UTC
Blackstone gates withdrawals as crypto and private credit slide
Blackstone has capped withdrawals, while crypto proxies are losing market cap and stocks of private credit companies are cratering, indicating a broader mark...
crypto · Protos · Jun 04, 18:00 UTC
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Unrealized Losses Exceed $11 Billion; Saylor Cites ETF Outflows
MicroStrategy has incurred unrealized losses exceeding $11 billion on its Bitcoin holdings as the cryptocurrency's price falls below its average purchase pri...
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 04, 16:41 UTC
2 Fed officials warn of interest rate hike potential
Two Federal Reserve officials have issued warnings about the potential for interest rate hikes, suggesting that the central bank may maintain a hawkish stanc...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 16:36 UTC
How Warsh Could Sink Inflation And Stocks
The article suggests that if Warsh's policies successfully curb inflation, it could lead to lower interest rates, potentially causing a downturn in the stock...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 15:59 UTC
The United States Of Austrian Economics
Iran has threatened to abandon negotiations with the US over Israel's actions, and tensions between former President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu are h...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 04, 14:45 UTC
KOSPI Falls Below 8,600 Amid Middle East Tensions and Soaring Exchange Rate... Foreign Selling Continues
The KOSPI index dropped below 8,600 due to escalating Middle East tensions, a sharp rise in the won/dollar exchange rate, and significant foreign selling.
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 04, 14:32 UTC
S&P 500, Nasdaq slide at open as Broadcom revenue miss dents chip stocks By Reuters - Investing.com
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq slid at the open as Broadcom's revenue miss weighed on chip stocks, according to Reuters.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 04, 13:40 UTC
Bitcoin and Ethereum Head Toward 52-Week Lows. Cryptocurrencies Hit a Brick Wall. -- Barrons.com - Moomoo
Bitcoin and Ethereum are heading toward 52-week lows, indicating a significant downturn in the cryptocurrency market.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 04, 12:52 UTC
Unstoppable Stock Market Meets Its Match: Why the S&P 500 Is Headed for a Fall.
The seemingly unstoppable stock market is meeting its match, with analyses suggesting why the S&P 500 is headed for a fall.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 04, 12:45 UTC
AI Data Center Investment Boom, New Opportunity for Private Infrastructure Capital
The AI data center investment boom is creating new opportunities for private infrastructure capital and real estate securitization capital, with major tech c...
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 04, 12:11 UTC
Bitcoin's $60K Support Line Shaken... Downward Pressure Grows with $1.7 Billion in Liquidations
Major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, faced significant selling pressure and liquidations, causing market turmoil. Approximately $1.7 billion in liquida...
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 04, 11:12 UTC
Inflation's Comeback: Why the Fed May Be Losing the Fight Again - LinkedIn
Inflation's Comeback: Why the Fed May Be Losing the Fight Again
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 10:30 UTC
📅 Open picks · 72h verification window
Fed signals possible rate hike as inflation hits 3-year high
The Federal Reserve indicates a potential interest rate hike as inflation reaches a three-year high.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 01:40 UTC
US is stuck in 'vicious circle' of widening inflation pressures
The US economy is reportedly stuck in a 'vicious circle' of widening inflation pressures.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 19:42 UTC
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Faces Trump Throwdown as Inflation Soars - 24/7 Wall St.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is reportedly facing a political challenge from former President Trump amidst soaring inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 13:53 UTC
Major Iranian Attack On Kuwait International Airport Leaves One Dead, 63 Injured
A significant Iranian missile and drone attack on Kuwait International Airport has resulted in casualties, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle Eas...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 04, 02:45 UTC
Live Markets: Bitcoin Crashes to $62,000 as Billions of Longs Get Liquidated
Bitcoin has crashed to $62,000, resulting in the liquidation of billions of dollars in long positions.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 04, 02:32 UTC
The two types of inflation the Fed can’t control — and how Congress must protect your wallet
As permanent supply shocks drive up Americans’ grocery and gasoline prices, lawmakers need to take a stand to protect consumers' wallets from inflation that ...
global_markets · MarketWatch Top Stories · Jun 03, 21:32 UTC
Fed's Logan says a rate hike may be needed to beat inflation
Fed's Logan says a rate hike may be needed to beat inflation
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 20:03 UTC
Fed Chair Warsh Steps In As Inflation Reignites And The Treasury Market Hints At A Rate Hike - Seeking Alpha
Fed Chair Warsh intervenes as inflation reignites and the Treasury market hints at a rate hike.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 14:55 UTC
The Fed May Have To Consider Rate Increases If Inflation Pressures Continue - thewealthadvisor.com
The Federal Reserve may have to consider raising interest rates if inflation pressures continue.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 13:51 UTC
Fed Chair Jay Powell Failed His Main Test: Keeping US Inflation Low - Cato Institute
Fed Chair Jay Powell Failed His Main Test: Keeping US Inflation Low Cato Institute
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 12:20 UTC
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces 'doom loop' of debt and inflation. What's going on in the bond market? - AOL.com
The new Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Warsh, is reportedly facing a 'doom loop' of debt and inflation, raising concerns about the stability of the bond market.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 11:20 UTC
Bitcoin Plummets on Middle East War Risk... $700 Million in Longs Liquidated in 12 Hours
The cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin (BTC), has plummeted due to Middle East geopolitical shocks, with $700 million in leveraged long positions liqui...
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 03, 09:45 UTC
The Fed ready to raise interest rates if inflation continues to rise
The Federal Reserve has indicated readiness to raise interest rates should inflation persist in its upward trend.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 01:20 UTC
Bitcoin support line collapses... Worst-case scenario of $35,000 mentioned
Bitcoin's support line has collapsed, and warnings of further declines are growing, with a worst-case scenario of $35,000 to $40,000 being discussed.
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 02, 17:11 UTC
The S&P 500 has only risen this quickly 4 times since WWII. Once, a historic stock-market crash followed.
The S&P 500 has experienced its fourth-fastest rise since WWII, a pattern that has historically preceded a major stock market crash.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 17:00 UTC
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Respond if Inflation Persists - WSJ
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Respond if Inflation Persists
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 14:11 UTC
Cleveland Fed president warns rate hikes could be on the table 'if recent trends continue' with inflation
The president of the Cleveland Federal Reserve has warned that interest rate hikes might be considered if recent inflation trends persist.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 13:49 UTC
Europe Has "Serious, Really Serious Problems" If US Cuts Oil Exports, Currie
Europe Has "Serious, Really Serious Problems" If US Cuts Oil Exports, Currie
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 02, 13:00 UTC
“Middle East War Makes It Tougher”… Are We Facing a Triple Whammy of High Inflation, High Interest Rates, and High Exchange Rates?
The consumer price inflation rate entered the 3% range in May, the highest in 26 months, due to supply shocks from the Middle East war. The Bank of Korea has...
korea_finance · Maeil Business · Jun 02, 09:37 UTC
S&P 500 And Nasdaq Rise To Record Highs, Powered By NVDA Gains Amid New PC Chip, While Trump’s Positive Commentary On US-Iran Supports Do...
S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise to record highs, powered by NVDA gains amid new PC chip, while Trump’s positive commentary on US-Iran supports Dow.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 08:10 UTC